Never mistake a clearer view for a short distance just because the technology looks like it's about to … - Paul Saffo

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Quote of the day

Many people take exception to me and say that I'm doing black magic and things they can't do at church. But I'm doing magic that started their church.

Paul Saffo

Never mistake a clearer view for a short distance just because the technology looks like it's about to arrive in the very near future. Chances are there will be some surprises and in the long run even the most expected of futures tends to arrive late and in completely unexpected ways.

Distance, Mistake, Running, Technology, Tends

Same Author Quotes

Before the iPhone, cyberspace was something you went to your desk to visit. Now cyberspace is something you carry in your pocket.

Carry, Cyberspace, Iphone, Pockets

The goal of forecasting is not to predict the future but to tell you what you need to know to take meaningful action in the present

Goal, Meaningful, Needs, Predict, Take, Tell

I think it was Samuel Johnson who said, "There are two kinds of information in this world: that what you know and that what you know where to get. " The tools help the latter, and that's what keeps us from going nuts. The sense of overload comes from the gap between that sudden jump in volume (of information) and the tools we have to make sense of it.

Nuts, Overload, Thinking, Tools, Two, World

I think of futurists as people who have a particular attitude about the future. They're advocates for a certain kind of outcome. As a forecaster I am something very different. I am a professional bystander. I have opinions about the future, of course. But my whole posture is to be detached and to identify what I think will happen and not allow my judgments of what should happen to get involved.

Attitude, Bystander, Bystanders, Forecaster, Particular, Thinking

Never mistake a clear view for a short distance.

Distance, Mistake, Short, Views